Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.076266 0.088703 0.102438 0.118719 0.137481 0.158412 0.183525
2024-10-27 0.055445 0.071421 0.090834 0.116109 0.148097 0.187186 0.238532
2024-11-03 0.044921 0.062777 0.086186 0.119007 0.163720 0.222377 0.305038
2024-11-10 0.038646 0.057806 0.084561 0.124446 0.182177 0.262447 0.382241
2024-11-17 0.033317 0.052890 0.081769 0.127179 0.196446 0.297705 0.456452
2024-11-24 0.028690 0.048059 0.078087 0.127622 0.206805 0.327843 0.526077
2024-12-01 0.024824 0.043689 0.074298 0.127050 0.215059 0.355153 0.593867
2024-12-08 0.021508 0.039642 0.070340 0.125445 0.221093 0.379159 0.658511
2024-12-15 0.019703 0.037888 0.069889 0.129511 0.236798 0.420228 0.755307
2024-12-22 0.018085 0.036199 0.069269 0.133078 0.251862 0.461526 0.856564
2024-12-29 0.016802 0.034932 0.069199 0.137536 0.268864 0.507699 0.970910
2025-01-05 0.015630 0.033697 0.068993 0.141637 0.285535 0.554754 1.091406
2025-01-12 0.013648 0.030572 0.064806 0.137628 0.286522 0.573451 1.161976
2025-01-19 0.011957 0.027806 0.060976 0.133845 0.287502 0.592241 1.234838
2025-01-26 0.011107 0.026745 0.060518 0.136952 0.302775 0.640439 1.370785
2025-02-02 0.010595 0.026365 0.061451 0.143117 0.325089 0.704939 1.546325
2025-02-09 0.009891 0.025428 0.061030 0.146227 0.341139 0.758050 1.703396
2025-02-16 0.009076 0.024101 0.059547 0.146728 0.351440 0.799962 1.840658
2025-02-23 0.008275 0.022687 0.057673 0.146073 0.358999 0.836603 1.969943
2025-03-02 0.007493 0.021200 0.055429 0.144236 0.363564 0.866987 2.088144
2025-03-09 0.007143 0.020804 0.055816 0.148887 0.384070 0.935360 2.299720
2025-03-16 0.006789 0.020341 0.055972 0.152967 0.403614 1.003338 2.516860
2025-03-23 0.006506 0.020039 0.056503 0.158065 0.426224 1.080616 2.763342